Yugoslavia vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
40.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
YUG
1 - 2
ITA
38%
23%
40%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1939 |
YUG
2 - 1
ENG
29%
20%
51%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1939 |
ROU
1 - 0
YUG
68%
16%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
GER
3 - 2
YUG
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
POL
4 - 4
YUG
70%
16%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1939 |
HUN
5 - 1
GER
59%
18%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1939 |
SVK
2 - 0
GER
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1939 |
EST
0 - 2
GER
25%
21%
54%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
0 - 2
GER
54%
20%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1939 |
NOR
0 - 4
GER
47%
21%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |