Yugoslavia vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.2%
7.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1962 |
YUG
5 - 0
COL
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1962 |
YUG
3 - 1
URU
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1962 |
SUN
2 - 0
YUG
53%
21%
26%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1962 |
YUG
3 - 1
DDR
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 34 | 54 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1961 |
ISR
0 - 2
YUG
32%
23%
45%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
BRD
2 - 0
CHI
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
BRD
2 - 1
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1962 |
BRD
0 - 0
ITA
60%
19%
20%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
BRD
2 - 1
GRC
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1961 |
BRD
2 - 1
NIR
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |