Yugoslavia vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
11.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
YUG
5 - 2
ETH
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
DDR
2 - 2
YUG
19%
22%
59%
|
87 | 35 | 52 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1962 |
CHI
1 - 0
YUG
54%
20%
26%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1962 |
CSK
3 - 1
YUG
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
YUG
1 - 0
BRD
83%
10%
7%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
YUG
1 - 0
BRD
83%
10%
7%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
BRD
2 - 0
CHI
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
BRD
2 - 1
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1962 |
BRD
0 - 0
ITA
60%
19%
20%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
BRD
2 - 1
GRC
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |