Yugoslavia vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1955 |
YUG
0 - 0
SUI
81%
11%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1955 |
ITA
0 - 4
YUG
68%
17%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
YUG
2 - 2
SCO
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
YUG
5 - 1
TUR
78%
13%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
AUT
2 - 2
YUG
65%
18%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
BRD
1 - 3
FRA
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1954 |
HUN
2 - 3
BRD
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
6 - 1
AUT
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
2 - 0
YUG
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
7 - 2
TUR
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |