Yugoslavia vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
14.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1952 |
YUG
5 - 3
DEN
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1952 |
YUG
3 - 1
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
81 | 15 | 66 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1952 |
YUG
5 - 5
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
81 | 15 | 66 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1952 |
YUG
10 - 1
IND
83%
10%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1952 |
YUG
4 - 1
NOR
79%
12%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1952 |
BRD
4 - 2
BRA
39%
22%
39%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1952 |
BRD
3 - 1
EGY
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1933 |
BRD
1 - 0
POL
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
BRD
0 - 6
AUT
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1929 |
BRD
1 - 1
SCO
47%
23%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |