Yugoslavia vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.8%
15.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
YUG
7 - 1
POL
58%
17%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
YUG
2 - 1
BGR
70%
14%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
ALB
2 - 4
YUG
49%
20%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
YUG
2 - 3
HUN
39%
21%
41%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1947 |
ROU
1 - 3
YUG
56%
19%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1948 |
ALB
0 - 0
HUN
30%
21%
49%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
ROU
0 - 1
ALB
62%
18%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
ALB
2 - 4
YUG
49%
20%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1947 |
HUN
3 - 0
ALB
85%
9%
6%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 1947 |
BGR
2 - 0
ALB
53%
20%
26%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |