WC Qual. Asia 1ª Ronda Final
Global 4-1
Yemen vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yemen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
IRQ
5 - 0
YEM
85%
12%
3%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
OMA
3 - 2
YEM
83%
13%
4%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
YEM
0 - 2
KSA
5%
16%
79%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
YEM
0 - 2
MNG
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
YEM
0 - 5
PLE
18%
24%
58%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
MDV
1 - 0
LKA
74%
16%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
LKA
0 - 2
THA
4%
11%
86%
|
25 | 71 | 46 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
UZB
3 - 0
LKA
89%
9%
2%
|
26 | 77 | 51 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
LKA
2 - 1
BGD
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
LKA
0 - 1
SYC
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |