Yemen vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
63%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yemen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
YEM
0 - 2
KSA
16%
25%
60%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
KWT
2 - 0
YEM
79%
14%
6%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
UAE
3 - 1
YEM
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
IRN
2 - 1
YEM
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
YEM
0 - 1
KSA
10%
20%
71%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
IRQ
1 - 0
KWT
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
KSA
0 - 2
IRQ
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
TUN
2 - 1
IRQ
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2012 |
IRQ
0 - 1
SYR
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
OMA
0 - 2
IRQ
38%
26%
37%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |