Venezuela vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 0
COL
29%
28%
44%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ARG
3 - 0
VEN
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 3
NGA
49%
26%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 1
ECU
34%
27%
40%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 2
VEN
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ECU
5 - 0
SLV
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
SLV
75%
18%
8%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SLV
1 - 0
BLZ
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
1 - 0
SLV
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SLV
0 - 0
PAN
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |