Venezuela vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1980 |
CUB
2 - 1
VEN
70%
17%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1980 |
SUN
4 - 0
VEN
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 91 | 30 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 1980 |
VEN
1 - 1
CRC
25%
25%
51%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
CHI
7 - 0
VEN
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
COL
4 - 0
VEN
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1980 |
SUN
3 - 1
ZAM
85%
10%
5%
|
60 | 91 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1980 |
CUB
1 - 0
ZAM
69%
17%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1980 |
ZAM
5 - 0
KEN
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
MWI
2 - 0
ZAM
54%
20%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1980 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ZIM
70%
16%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |