Venezuela vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
4 - 0
VEN
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
CAN
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
JAM
0 - 3
VEN
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 0
MEX
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 2
VEN
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
PAR
75%
17%
9%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
URU
1 - 1
GTM
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 2
URU
16%
21%
63%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
BRA
23%
22%
55%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |