Venezuela vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
VEN
0 - 0
URU
15%
20%
65%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
VEN
2 - 0
PER
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2007 |
VEN
2 - 2
BOL
45%
23%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
VEN
2 - 2
CAN
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
VEN
2 - 1
HND
34%
25%
40%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
VEN
0 - 0
URU
15%
20%
65%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 1
URU
15%
20%
65%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2007 |
URU
0 - 3
PER
73%
17%
10%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
AUS
1 - 2
URU
36%
28%
36%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
KOR
0 - 2
URU
37%
28%
36%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | +1 |