Venezuela vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
AUT
0 - 1
VEN
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
SUI
1 - 0
VEN
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
VEN
0 - 0
HND
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
USA
2 - 0
VEN
74%
18%
8%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
MEX
1 - 0
VEN
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
EGY
0 - 2
URU
45%
25%
30%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
TUN
0 - 0
URU
29%
27%
44%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 2
URU
16%
25%
60%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
SCG
1 - 1
URU
23%
24%
53%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
URU
2 - 0
ROU
37%
27%
37%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |