Venezuela vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
52.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
GTM
3 - 0
VEN
69%
20%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1996 |
VEN
0 - 1
ECU
23%
27%
51%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
TTO
0 - 0
VEN
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1996 |
TTO
0 - 0
VEN
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1995 |
ARG
6 - 0
VEN
78%
16%
7%
|
58 | 93 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
BRA
2 - 0
URU
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
ISR
3 - 1
URU
30%
29%
41%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1995 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
27%
27%
47%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1995 |
URU
2 - 0
COL
59%
25%
16%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1995 |
URU
2 - 1
BOL
72%
19%
10%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |