Venezuela vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
URY
5 - 0
VEN
69%
18%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1959 |
VEN
7 - 0
PRI
70%
15%
15%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 1959 |
VEN
2 - 2
PAN
65%
16%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1959 |
VEN
2 - 2
ANT
78%
12%
10%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1956 |
HTI
3 - 0
VEN
52%
20%
28%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
URY
5 - 0
VEN
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
URY
1 - 1
CHL
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
CHL
0 - 0
URY
49%
22%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1965 |
URY
4 - 0
PRY
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
PRY
2 - 1
URY
45%
22%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |