Venezuela vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
49.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1985 |
VEN
2 - 3
ARG
8%
22%
71%
|
61 | 91 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
BOL
4 - 1
VEN
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1985 |
VEN
5 - 0
BOL
46%
22%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
VEN
0 - 0
CHI
32%
30%
38%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
VEN
1 - 2
URU
33%
31%
35%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1985 |
COL
1 - 0
PER
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1985 |
BOL
0 - 0
PER
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
BRA
0 - 1
PER
86%
11%
3%
|
79 | 95 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1985 |
PER
1 - 0
ECU
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
PER
1 - 1
CHI
48%
28%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |