Venezuela vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
VEN
3 - 2
PER
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 0
VEN
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
VEN
2 - 2
BOL
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
VEN
0 - 1
URU
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 1
VEN
43%
25%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 5
ARG
17%
23%
60%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
GER
3 - 3
PAR
84%
12%
5%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 2
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
ECU
4 - 1
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |