Venezuela vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
VEN
2 - 5
BRA
13%
22%
66%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
VEN
71%
18%
10%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ESP
3 - 2
VEN
81%
13%
5%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
VEN
1 - 1
BOL
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
PER
3 - 1
VEN
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2004 |
ECU
2 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
URU
1 - 0
ECU
63%
23%
15%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
MEX
2 - 1
ECU
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
62%
21%
16%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
ARG
6 - 1
ECU
86%
11%
3%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |