Venezuela vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
BRA
4 - 0
VEN
84%
12%
4%
|
57 | 95 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
URU
4 - 0
VEN
74%
19%
8%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
BOL
7 - 0
VEN
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
ECU
5 - 0
VEN
82%
12%
6%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
VEN
1 - 5
BRA
13%
25%
62%
|
59 | 95 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
ECU
0 - 1
URU
33%
30%
38%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
BRA
2 - 0
ECU
82%
13%
4%
|
79 | 95 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1993 |
BOL
1 - 0
ECU
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
ECU
5 - 0
VEN
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
URU
0 - 0
ECU
70%
21%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |