Venezuela vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 0
VEN
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
URU
4 - 1
VEN
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
VEN
4 - 1
BOL
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
VEN
1 - 2
PER
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
ECU
1 - 0
VEN
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
COL
3 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
8%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
HND
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |