Venezuela vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
42%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
3 - 0
VEN
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 99 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
VEN
0 - 1
PAR
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
VEN
4 - 1
PER
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2005 |
ECU
3 - 1
VEN
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 1
VEN
69%
20%
12%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 1
COL
51%
26%
22%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
CHI
54%
25%
21%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
URU
3 - 2
COL
50%
27%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
COL
2 - 3
PAN
86%
11%
4%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
MEX
1 - 2
COL
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |