Venezuela vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1978 |
VEN
0 - 1
CHN
36%
24%
40%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1977 |
URU
2 - 0
VEN
79%
13%
8%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 0
VEN
61%
19%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 3
BOL
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 1
URU
29%
24%
47%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1979 |
COL
1 - 2
PER
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1979 |
PER
0 - 1
COL
73%
17%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 1979 |
COL
0 - 0
ESP
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1979 |
COL
1 - 1
ESP
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1977 |
BRA
6 - 0
COL
84%
13%
4%
|
64 | 93 | 29 | +1 |