Venezuela vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
63.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
VEN
0 - 2
URU
19%
28%
53%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
GTM
3 - 0
VEN
69%
20%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1996 |
VEN
0 - 1
ECU
23%
27%
51%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
TTO
0 - 0
VEN
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1996 |
TTO
0 - 0
VEN
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 0
BOL
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
CHI
3 - 0
AUS
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1996 |
CHI
4 - 0
PER
70%
20%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 1
MEX
41%
28%
30%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHI
31%
29%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |