Venezuela vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
COL
0 - 1
VEN
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
VEN
0 - 3
ARG
11%
21%
68%
|
78 | 98 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 0
VEN
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
VEN
3 - 2
HTI
60%
21%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
NGA
1 - 0
VEN
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ARG
3 - 0
BOL
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 99 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
BOL
1 - 0
HND
36%
25%
40%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
BOL
4 - 0
COL
29%
28%
43%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
71%
19%
11%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
BOL
3 - 0
PAN
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |