Venezuela vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
PER
3 - 1
VEN
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
VEN
0 - 1
COL
12%
21%
66%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
PER
0 - 0
VEN
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
VEN
0 - 1
CHI
33%
26%
40%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
JAM
2 - 1
VEN
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
COL
1 - 0
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
PER
2 - 2
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ECU
3 - 2
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAR
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 2
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |