Venezuela vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
62.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
VEN
0 - 0
URU
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
4 - 0
VEN
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
CAN
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
JAM
0 - 3
VEN
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 0
MEX
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
ARG
31%
26%
42%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 0
CHI
76%
16%
8%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
CAN
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 1
ECU
76%
16%
8%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |