Venezuela vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
63%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ECU
0 - 1
VEN
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
VEN
1 - 1
PAN
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
VEN
3 - 2
PAR
33%
28%
40%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 1
VEN
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
VEN
1 - 4
URU
16%
21%
64%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ARG
2 - 0
CHI
72%
19%
9%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
AUS
0 - 1
ARG
17%
24%
60%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 1
ARG
22%
25%
53%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 0
ARG
54%
21%
25%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2007 |
MEX
0 - 3
ARG
20%
21%
59%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |