Venezuela vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
60.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
VEN
2 - 0
CRC
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1996 |
SLV
0 - 1
VEN
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ECU
1 - 0
VEN
83%
12%
6%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1996 |
PAN
0 - 2
VEN
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1996 |
BOL
6 - 1
VEN
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1996 |
PER
0 - 0
ARG
18%
26%
56%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1996 |
ARG
2 - 0
POL
63%
22%
15%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
ECU
2 - 0
ARG
21%
27%
52%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
ARG
3 - 1
BOL
73%
18%
9%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |