Venezuela vs Panama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
BOL
3 - 1
VEN
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
VEN
0 - 0
COL
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
VEN
3 - 0
EST
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2004 |
VEN
0 - 1
GTM
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2004 |
ARG
3 - 2
VEN
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2005 |
PAN
1 - 1
MEX
14%
25%
61%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
CRC
2 - 1
PAN
72%
17%
10%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
PAN
0 - 3
GTM
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
HND
1 - 0
PAN
69%
18%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
PAN
0 - 1
CRC
16%
22%
62%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |