Venezuela vs Panama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 4
ARG
13%
23%
65%
|
65 | 96 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
ECU
2 - 0
VEN
80%
14%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 0
BOL
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1999 |
HTI
3 - 2
VEN
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
URU
2 - 0
VEN
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2000 |
PAN
4 - 0
NIC
70%
18%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
JAM
0 - 1
PAN
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
HND
3 - 1
PAN
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PAN
1 - 0
HND
22%
23%
54%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
NIC
0 - 2
PAN
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |