Venezuela vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2006 |
USA
2 - 0
VEN
74%
18%
8%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
MEX
1 - 0
VEN
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
VEN
1 - 1
COL
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
3 - 0
VEN
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 99 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
VEN
0 - 1
PAR
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CHN
0 - 1
HND
44%
25%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2006 |
ECU
1 - 0
HND
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
JPN
5 - 4
HND
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
HND
1 - 2
USA
17%
23%
60%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
HND
3 - 2
CRC
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |