Venezuela vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
EUS
3 - 1
VEN
35%
26%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
ECU
4 - 1
VEN
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
MEX
2 - 2
VEN
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 3
VEN
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
VEN
1 - 0
ECU
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
HND
2 - 1
CRC
50%
23%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
PAN
1 - 1
CRC
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GTM
0 - 2
CRC
22%
23%
55%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CRC
1 - 1
HND
40%
24%
36%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
JAM
0 - 0
CRC
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |