Venezuela vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
VEN
2 - 0
COL
35%
28%
36%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ARG
4 - 0
VEN
77%
17%
7%
|
85 | 99 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
VEN
2 - 1
GTM
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
VEN
0 - 0
ANG
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
VEN
3 - 1
ECU
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
CRC
1 - 0
SLV
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MEX
2 - 0
CRC
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
CRC
2 - 0
HND
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CRC
0 - 0
PAN
78%
14%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
CRC
1 - 0
SLV
86%
11%
4%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |