Vanuatu vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2000 |
SOL
2 - 1
VAN
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
AUS
1 - 0
VAN
85%
12%
3%
|
39 | 88 | 49 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2000 |
VAN
3 - 2
TAH
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2000 |
NZL
3 - 1
VAN
88%
9%
3%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2000 |
GLP
1 - 0
VAN
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2000 |
VAN
3 - 2
TAH
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2000 |
NZL
2 - 0
TAH
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
FIJ
4 - 2
TAH
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1998 |
AUS
4 - 1
TAH
80%
15%
6%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1998 |
TAH
5 - 1
VAN
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |