Vanuatu vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.6%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
82.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
13.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SOL
0 - 2
VAN
68%
18%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
FIJ
3 - 0
VAN
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
TON
1 - 4
VAN
7%
17%
76%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VAN
0 - 2
SOL
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
ASA
0 - 15
VAN
1%
10%
89%
|
42 | 5 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
11%
18%
70%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
WAL
2 - 2
NZL
66%
22%
13%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
VEN
5 - 0
NZL
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CRC
4 - 0
NZL
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |