Vanuatu vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NZL
4 - 1
VAN
89%
9%
2%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
VAN
1 - 2
NZL
5%
13%
82%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SOL
0 - 2
VAN
68%
18%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
FIJ
3 - 0
VAN
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
TON
1 - 4
VAN
7%
17%
76%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NCL
4 - 0
FIJ
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
FIJ
3 - 3
NCL
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 0
FIJ
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
SOL
2 - 3
NCL
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 1
FIJ
14%
21%
65%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |