Vanuatu vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
VAN
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
LBN
3 - 1
VAN
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
VAN
36%
23%
41%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
FIJ
1 - 2
VAN
47%
24%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
IDN
6 - 0
VAN
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
MNG
0 - 0
LBN
11%
18%
71%
|
29 | 63 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
MNG
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GEO
6 - 1
MNG
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 77 | 47 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
YEM
0 - 2
MNG
77%
16%
7%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MNG
0 - 1
PHL
12%
20%
68%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -1 |