Vanuatu vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VAN
1 - 1
FIJ
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
TAH
4 - 1
VAN
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
VAN
5 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
VAN
2 - 5
NCL
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VAN
2 - 0
SOL
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VAN
1 - 1
FIJ
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
FIJ
6 - 0
ASA
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 8 | 45 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
FIJ
5 - 0
TON
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
PNG
1 - 1
FIJ
9%
18%
74%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
FIJ
0 - 0
SOL
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |