Vanuatu vs Samoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
LCA
0 - 2
VAN
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2007 |
LCA
5 - 3
VAN
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
TAH
2 - 1
VAN
55%
22%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2004 |
VAN
0 - 3
AUS
2%
13%
85%
|
41 | 89 | 48 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
NZL
2 - 4
VAN
89%
9%
2%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | +2 |
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 4
PNG
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 4
FIJ
9%
18%
74%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 3
VAN
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
SAM
4 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
38 | 5 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
AUS
11 - 0
SAM
85%
12%
4%
|
38 | 89 | 51 | 0 |