Uzbekistan vs Turkmenistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
UZB
3 - 0
HKG
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
HKG
0 - 2
UZB
8%
17%
76%
|
80 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 1
UZB
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
UZB
2 - 1
THA
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 1
UZB
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
TKM
0 - 1
IRN
7%
19%
74%
|
51 | 89 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
IRN
5 - 0
TKM
86%
10%
3%
|
52 | 89 | 37 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
KAZ
2 - 0
TKM
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
HKG
2 - 2
TKM
23%
23%
55%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
TKM
1 - 3
UZB
11%
19%
71%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |