Uzbekistan vs Turkmenistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2001 |
UZB
7 - 0
TWN
87%
9%
3%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
UZB
2 - 0
BLR
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2001 |
UZB
2 - 1
AZE
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2001 |
UZB
0 - 2
ARM
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2001 |
ISR
2 - 0
UZB
82%
12%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2001 |
TKM
2 - 0
JOR
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
TKM
0 - 1
CPV
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
UZB
3 - 0
TKM
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1999 |
EST
1 - 1
TKM
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1999 |
TKM
0 - 3
IRQ
8%
17%
76%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |