Uzbekistan vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
UZB
2 - 1
GHA
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
UZB
2 - 0
JOR
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
UZB
1 - 2
IRQ
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
SYR
1 - 0
UZB
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
UAE
1 - 2
UZB
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
IRQ
2 - 1
KWT
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
UAE
0 - 0
IRQ
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
UZB
1 - 2
IRQ
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
JOR
0 - 0
IRQ
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
IRQ
2 - 2
BHR
53%
26%
22%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |