Uzbekistan vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
SYR
1 - 0
UZB
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
UAE
1 - 2
UZB
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
UZB
1 - 2
IRN
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
UZB
2 - 1
TJK
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BLR
1 - 0
UZB
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
JOR
0 - 0
IRQ
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
IRQ
2 - 2
BHR
53%
26%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
YEM
0 - 0
IRQ
9%
19%
73%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
UAE
0 - 2
IRQ
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
QAT
1 - 2
IRQ
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |