Uzbekistan vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 1
UZB
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
UZB
1 - 0
BHR
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
UZB
1 - 0
PHL
74%
18%
8%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UZB
2 - 0
LBN
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
YEM
1 - 3
UZB
9%
17%
74%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
IRQ
1 - 0
VIE
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
IRQ
2 - 2
THA
36%
26%
39%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
IRQ
0 - 1
SYR
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
TWN
0 - 2
IRQ
6%
16%
78%
|
75 | 32 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
VIE
1 - 1
IRQ
20%
23%
57%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |