Uruguay vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1930 |
URU
4 - 0
ROU
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1930 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
71%
17%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1929 |
PER
1 - 4
URU
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1930 |
YUG
4 - 0
BOL
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 63 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1930 |
YUG
2 - 1
BRA
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 76 | 52 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
BGR
2 - 2
YUG
86%
9%
5%
|
24 | 64 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
YUG
2 - 1
ROU
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 73 | 51 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
YUG
6 - 1
BGR
19%
22%
60%
|
20 | 65 | 45 | +2 |