Uruguay vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1924 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
ARG
2 - 3
URU
44%
23%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1923 |
URU
2 - 0
ARG
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1923 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
8%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1923 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1924 |
YUG
1 - 4
AUT
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 75 | 64 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1923 |
CSK
4 - 4
YUG
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 79 | 69 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1923 |
ROU
1 - 2
YUG
86%
10%
5%
|
9 | 72 | 63 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1923 |
POL
1 - 2
YUG
86%
10%
5%
|
7 | 72 | 65 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 1922 |
YUG
1 - 3
POL
16%
22%
62%
|
8 | 72 | 64 | -1 |