Uruguay vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1997 |
ECU
4 - 0
URU
31%
28%
41%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
URU
0 - 0
ARG
33%
28%
40%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
68%
21%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1996 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
48%
26%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1996 |
URU
1 - 0
BOL
67%
21%
12%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
CRC
5 - 2
VEN
75%
16%
8%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1997 |
JAM
0 - 0
VEN
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
VEN
0 - 2
PAR
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
VEN
0 - 2
COL
23%
30%
47%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
PER
4 - 1
VEN
75%
17%
9%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |