Uruguay vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1983 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1983 |
URU
0 - 0
PAR
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1983 |
PER
1 - 1
URU
47%
28%
25%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1983 |
URU
1 - 1
PER
60%
24%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1983 |
URU
3 - 0
PAR
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1981 |
VEN
0 - 2
ESP
25%
27%
49%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
BRA
5 - 0
VEN
95%
4%
1%
|
60 | 94 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
VEN
1 - 0
BOL
45%
22%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
BOL
3 - 0
VEN
66%
17%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
VEN
0 - 1
BRA
3%
16%
81%
|
61 | 94 | 33 | -1 |