Uruguay vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 0
URU
30%
24%
46%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 1
URU
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
URU
3 - 0
CHI
52%
23%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1977 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 0
VEN
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 3
BOL
58%
20%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 1
URU
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 0
ECU
67%
17%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
BRA
6 - 0
VEN
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 92 | 28 | 0 |