Uruguay vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1965 |
URU
1 - 1
CHI
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
CHI
0 - 0
URU
49%
22%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1965 |
URU
4 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
PAR
2 - 1
URU
45%
22%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
URU
0 - 2
DDR
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1959 |
VEN
7 - 0
PRI
70%
15%
15%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1959 |
VEN
2 - 2
PAN
65%
16%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1959 |
VEN
2 - 2
ANT
78%
12%
10%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1956 |
HTI
3 - 0
VEN
52%
20%
28%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1956 |
VEN
4 - 2
PAN
63%
17%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |